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Old 03-11-2017, 01:04 PM   #1
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Default Best sea state forecasts?

I'm new to offshore fishing and since I primarily bottom fish 3' is about my personal limit to comfortably fish. I was watching the Destin to Pensacola 0-20nm NOAA zone marine forecasts and surf forecasts all week. Today the NOAA zone forecast is calling 2-4' today and 3-5' tomorrow, but the NOAA point forecasts 14 miles off Okaloosa Island is 1-2' today and 1-2' tomorrow. The surf reports like magic seaweed are saying surf is 0-1.5'.

What sources do you find most accurate to pick your fishing days? Does interval make a significant difference? Do you bother with the surf models or strictly look at the wind or what?
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Old 03-11-2017, 01:32 PM   #2
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You have to look at the wind direction and the interval makes a major distance. the longer the seconds the further apart the waves will be 10 seconds is a good distance. Less than that and it gets bumper and makes it tough going head on or quartering. The heights is a mean average and always feels and looks worse than forecasted. North winds will fool the hell out of you by being small and at your stern while going out. Then when you decide they are to big and turn around. Oh shit where did these seas come from. Then you have to pound head on back in.
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Old 03-11-2017, 01:33 PM   #3
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My spouse was a former meteorologist for the NAVY so we use NOAA to help determine if and where we want to go out.
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Old 03-12-2017, 10:06 AM   #4
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I have found reefcast to be the most accurate. Often I look at what reefcast says, as well as the NOAA forecast, as well as the regular weather forecast, and also swell info for what the surf is supposed to do. You can't have to much info. As sealark said the wind makes more of a difference to me than the size of swell. Once you get to the 13-18kt range it's going to be fairly nasty. 8-13kt and below is typically going to be fishable.

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Old 03-12-2017, 10:37 AM   #5
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I agree with sniperpeeps, reefcast is by far the most accurate and my band of fishing buddies refer to NOAA as NOWAY. Because they are rarely right. The rule of thumb that I have found to work is for every 5 knots it equals 1 foot of seas. So in order to remain under 3 feet you need to have under 15 knot winds.
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Old 03-12-2017, 03:27 PM   #6
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Old 03-12-2017, 04:53 PM   #7
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