Statistically you are exactly right, but I'm not a young pier rat like you guys anymore and Ido not get to fish everyday like I used to, so I have to go when I get the chance. I guess fishing a north wind and catching nothing is better than staying home and doing "wife" chores. I do remember over thirty years ago during cobia season,I left Navarre pier at about 2:00 with a hard west wind blowing and they slaughtered the cobia that afternoon. (that is rare but it can happen). Oh well; get ready because they are going to bust loose next week because the conditions are going to be right!